Mitt Romney [or Sarah Palin] will be the Republican vice presidential nominee.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Pawlenty won’t go in Dayton, Ohio. So, it’s Mitt Romney.

The play-money and real-money prediction markets were easily fooled with the Pawlenty rumors, yesterday.

That vindicates my message that the VP prediction markets feed on unreliable primary indicators.

I said from day one to be careful with the VP prediction markets.

I told you so.

UPDATE: It’s probably Sarah Palin.

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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4 Responses to Mitt Romney [or Sarah Palin] will be the Republican vice presidential nominee.

  1. Pingback: RedState says that Tim Pawlenty is the Republican vice presidential nominee chosen by John McCain. | Midas Oracle .ORG

  2. Michael Giberson says:
    August 29, 2008 at 9:31 AM

    Romney?

    Not according to the consensus at InTrade as of about 9 AM EDT.

    Romney (and Pawlenty and many others) have had contract prices tank, while in the “Field” version of the VP market, the Field contract has shot up around 90.

    In the “Others upon request” VP market, Sarah Palin is at 40 and their has been a notable tick up for Tom Ridge.  Romney and Pawlenty are both under 10.

  3. Pingback: Sarah… Who? | Midas Oracle .ORG

  4. Chris F. Masse says:
    August 29, 2008 at 9:42 AM

    I fucked it up. I corrected on the post, and I published another post.

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