Comments on: ENDLESS VEEPSTAKES: Why you should never trade on VP prediction markets, and why their probabilistic predictions are as stochastic as Paris Hilton’s daily dress picks. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/ Prediction Markets For All Fri, 09 Jan 2009 03:18:09 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: Paul Kedrosky … sucks. — Plus, Jason Trost is bashing InTrade and BetFair in order to boost his startup, Smarkets. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/#comment-21372 Paul Kedrosky … sucks. — Plus, Jason Trost is bashing InTrade and BetFair in order to boost his startup, Smarkets. | Midas Oracle .ORG Sun, 31 Aug 2008 09:04:07 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=8388#comment-21372 [...] Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures has the same (bad) opinion about those VP prediction markets as I do. I will index Emile in this file, next week. Emile is a smart and experienced man, and we have the [...] [...] Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures has the same (bad) opinion about those VP prediction markets as I do. I will index Emile in this file, next week. Emile is a smart and experienced man, and we have the [...]

]]> By: Mitt Romney will be the Republican vice presidential nominee. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/#comment-21323 Mitt Romney will be the Republican vice presidential nominee. | Midas Oracle .ORG Fri, 29 Aug 2008 13:09:42 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=8388#comment-21323 [...] I told you so. [...] [...] I told you so. [...]

]]> By: Barack Obama + Joe Biden — THE PREDICTION MARKETS NAILED IT… triple alas (for my reputation as a world-wide prediction market pundit, and for the debate on the different quality of the various primary indicators out there). | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/#comment-21220 Barack Obama + Joe Biden — THE PREDICTION MARKETS NAILED IT… triple alas (for my reputation as a world-wide prediction market pundit, and for the debate on the different quality of the various primary indicators out there). | Midas Oracle .ORG Sat, 23 Aug 2008 09:12:32 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=8388#comment-21220 [...] have over-estimated the secretiveness of Barack Obama’s decision process. The chart above obviously shows that [...] [...] have over-estimated the secretiveness of Barack Obama’s decision process. The chart above obviously shows that [...]

]]> By: While InTrade CEO John Delaney is deceiving the journalists to sell his wares, Tom Snee of the Iowa Electronic Markets is telling them the truth: BEWARE THE VP-CANDIDATE PREDICTION MARKETS, THEY JUST AGGREGATE RUMORS. | Midas Oracle .ORG http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/#comment-21205 While InTrade CEO John Delaney is deceiving the journalists to sell his wares, Tom Snee of the Iowa Electronic Markets is telling them the truth: BEWARE THE VP-CANDIDATE PREDICTION MARKETS, THEY JUST AGGREGATE RUMORS. | Midas Oracle .ORG Fri, 22 Aug 2008 10:36:45 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=8388#comment-21205 [...] than Tom Snee (the IEM spin doctor), Chris Masse and Justin Wolfers are the only prediction market analysts to have sent out warnings about the [...] [...] than Tom Snee (the IEM spin doctor), Chris Masse and Justin Wolfers are the only prediction market analysts to have sent out warnings about the [...]

]]> By: Caveat Bettor http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/08/20/vp-candidate-prediction-markets/#comment-21186 Caveat Bettor Wed, 20 Aug 2008 19:35:02 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=8388#comment-21186 I should remind that I'm not just long Kaine; I'm short Biden. It's a strategy.  Whether an inane or brilliant one, who knows.  I was tempted to get long Bayh, too, but heard Chris telling me how dumb that would be. I should remind that I’m not just long Kaine; I’m short Biden.

It’s a strategy.  Whether an inane or brilliant one, who knows.  I was tempted to get long Bayh, too, but heard Chris telling me how dumb that would be.

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