Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
His Jason Calacanis-inspired critique of The Wisdom Of Crowds is an abyssal nullity.
James Surowiecki is a great thinker, and the principles behind the wisdom of crowds are effective. (see point #3.)
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Daniel Horowitz on Health care reform is down to 47% at InTrade. –> Toss a coin, it will get you the same.Daniel Horowitz on Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health care reform?
Paul Hewitt on Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction MarketsPaul Hewitt on Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)
Chris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer betting
Medemi on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer betting