http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/29/grave-problem-with-msr/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/29/grave-problem-with-msr/#comment-19681 Jason Ruspini Sun, 29 Jun 2008 17:17:22 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=7373#comment-19681 It's not a problem with MSR, just the use of MSR.  Whoever subsidized the decision markets on Intrade seems to have suffered over $1000 of losses across all those markets in January because they set the initial prices at 50% when they obviously should have been lower given the definition of the contract and democrat electoral chances: <a href="http://www.intrade.com/index.jsp?request_operation=trade&request_type=action&selConID=565199" rel="nofollow">http://www.intrade.com/index.jsp?request_operation=trade&request_type=action&selConID=565199</a> It’s not a problem with MSR, just the use of MSR.  Whoever subsidized the decision markets on Intrade seems to have suffered over $1000 of losses across all those markets in January because they set the initial prices at 50% when they obviously should have been lower given the definition of the contract and democrat electoral chances:
http://www.intrade.com/index.jsp?request_operation=trade&request_type=action&selConID=565199

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