“Since 2005, the Commission’s staff has received a substantial number of requests for guidance on the propriety of offering and trading financial agreements that may primarily function as information aggregation vehicles.”

Chris F. Masse June 18th, 2008

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“Since 2005″…

Interesting…

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2003: Robin Hanson’s PAM ends up on newspaper frontpages… - [That's when I got started in prediction markets.]

2004: James Surowiecki launches “The Wisdom Of Crowds”

2004: InTrade-TradeSports popularize “Bush Re-Election” prediction markets

2005: Wannabe prediction market entrepreneurs begin to question the CFTC about the regulation of real-money prediction markets

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What I find interesting here is the time lag… It took a while, it seems…

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More info about prediction market history

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