Do not pay any attention to Jason Ruspini’s legal ramblings on Midas Oracle. — Do monitor Jason Ruspini’s portfolio of event derivatives, instead.
Chris F. Masse May 27th, 2008
I’m kidding, for the first sentence.
Jason Ruspini plucked down $1,000 on the HudDub prediction market (on the “yes” side). Bizarrely, the price/probability barely moved up. Michael Giberson, any rational explanation?
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% chance over time

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I am not sure the question is defined in a fashion that respects the CFTC’s intricacies. Tom W. Bell would be the one to ask that.
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- Exchanges & Markets , Market Prices & Probabilities
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