Land-Ocean year-to-date temperatures 0.35 Celsius over baseline

Testing the new HubDub chart widgets ROBIN HANSON’S PUBLIC ADMISSION: He signed Bob’s petitions, not because he heartfully endorsed them fully, but because he wanted to please Bob, didn’t want to be left out of the party, and was persuaded that his own blue-sky proposals wouldn’t make it —and other irrational excuses for not saying the truth to the US Congress.

Land-Ocean year-to-date temperatures 0.35 Celsius over baseline

Caveat Bettor May 19th, 2008

according to GISS. Assuming the Intrade “Top 5″ global warming contract expires according to the Land Ocean Index, May - Dec 2008 temperatures will need to average 0.65 Celsius over baseline. The record was set back in 2005, 0.62 Celsius over baseline.

Intrade needs to specify the expiry conditions more precisely.

Still, I’m remain short the contract:

Cross-posted from Caveat Bettor.

Previous blog posts by Caveat Bettor:

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Tags: global warming, prediction markets, temperatures, weather

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