Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

The HubDub blog does not practice prediction market journalism, alas.

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Take their latest political output: not a single word about HubDub’s prices / probabilities. So, what the HubDub blog does is simply political journalism, with a link to the related HubDub prediction market.

Examples of prediction market journalism:

The 3 examples above are not the richest forms of prediction market journalism, but it’s a good step in the right direction. (Small step for for a man; big step for humanity. :-D )

I am disappointed that Nigel Eccles (who is a guy who has computed many things right, other than that) let his bloggers without a clear handbook.

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3 Comments to The HubDub blog does not practice prediction market journalism, alas.

  1. May 11, 2008 at 5:37 PM | Permalink

    [Link bait taken]
    The reason we haven’t moved to quoting market prices is nearly all of our blog posts related to new markets that have no price history (either on Hubdub or any other market). Therefore the blog post is written at the same time as the question is created.
    However, you are right that we could quote our opening prices in the posts. We will move to doing that more over the next couple of weeks. Also I am planning on doing a weekly post on market movements.

  1. By on May 15, 2008 at 5:19 AM

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