His first group of conditional prediction markets are traded quite well (although thinely), but his second group is a thermo-nuclear disaster. Right-click on the 2 images below, and open the InTrade links in new browser tabs.
I have excerpted the most liquid prediction market on the other blog (which was linked today by Marginal Revolution, for the second time –much to MG’s dismay 
).
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InTrade – “US Presidential Decisions”
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InTrade – “Impact of Next President”
