As I said previously, I’m in favor of listing the URLs of the advanced indicators on the prediction market pages. Prediction markets with better advanced indicators (as it is the case in political elections and finance) should be proven to be more liquid than markets with poor ones.
That said, I love David Pennock’s prediction markets:
A contract will expire according to the percentage share of internet searches conducted in the United States in 2008. For example, if 53.5% of searches conducted in the United States in 2008 are made using Google then the contract listed for Google will expire at 53.5…
Will these prediction markets take off? (Any prediction market with good advanced indicators would already have taken off, by now, in my view.)
