Comments on: Search engine futures! http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16759 Chris. F. Masse Tue, 29 Jan 2008 07:59:53 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16759 A related discussion would be the coupling of any prediction exchange with a news aggregator. Jed C. has some lite thoughts here: http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/01/29/prediction-markets-and-news-on-hubdub/ The Midas Oracle readers remember that I have been bullish on HubDub. A related discussion would be the coupling of any prediction exchange with a news aggregator. Jed C. has some lite thoughts here:
http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/01/29/prediction-markets-and-news-on-hubdub/
The Midas Oracle readers remember that I have been bullish on HubDub.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16758 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 21:57:10 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16758 Those are values that you and others carry around. :-D Those are values that you and others carry around. :-D

]]> By: David Pennock http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16757 David Pennock Mon, 28 Jan 2008 21:29:18 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16757 I agree with nearly everything you say: information is good, openness is good, & it would be nice if markets came with links to lots of information. I agree with nearly everything you say: information is good, openness is good, & it would be nice if markets came with links to lots of information.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16752 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 17:21:47 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16752 And, you, too, can go and get yourself a gravatar (a face picture published near your comments on every WordPress blog enabled with this capability): http://www.gravatar.com/ And, you, too, can go and get yourself a gravatar (a face picture published near your comments on every WordPress blog enabled with this capability):
http://www.gravatar.com/

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16751 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 14:57:33 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16751 "The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query" . QUOTE TechCrunch reported recently on a study by the University of Southern California's Center for the Digital Future. The finding uncovered that a growing number of people believe that search results are unreliable and inaccurate. http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/01/17/search-atheism-on-the-rise/ UNQUOTE . Found here: http://www.conversationagent.com/2008/01/the-role-of-the.html “The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query”
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QUOTE
TechCrunch reported recently on a study by the University of Southern California’s Center for the Digital Future. The finding uncovered that a growing number of people believe that search results are unreliable and inaccurate.
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/01/17/search-atheism-on-the-rise/
UNQUOTE
.
Found here:
http://www.conversationagent.com/2008/01/the-role-of-the.html

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16750 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 14:19:10 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16750 "I agree it is a nice service to provide" Yes, in a free and "open" society. I thought that Yahoo" was an "open" company, since you support open-source software and some other open knowledge initiatives. . I am systematically in favor of "open" knowledge. Everywhere. Including in prediction markets. . "If all traders are aware of all the same advanced indicators, then again in some sense "there's no money to be made"." Only the active traders will have the time to monitor those good advanced indicators. (And sometimes, these resources are not provided for free.) The fact that only a few active traders will use those resources does not mean that all the other traders should be left ignorant of them. Too much information is good. :-D . "The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query, whether the market operator specifically links to it or not." Hummm... Dubious claim. If your statement were true, then the satisfaction rates of search engines would reach 100%. I don't think it's the case, and that's why search engines employ smart researchers like to you to concoct improvement. :-D . Anyone on the Web enjoys a set of good links. It's my opinion that the URLs of good advanced indicators should always be provide on the related prediction market page. “I agree it is a nice service to provide”
Yes, in a free and “open” society. I thought that Yahoo” was an “open” company, since you support open-source software and some other open knowledge initiatives.
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I am systematically in favor of “open” knowledge. Everywhere. Including in prediction markets.
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“If all traders are aware of all the same advanced indicators, then again in some sense “there’s no money to be made”.”
Only the active traders will have the time to monitor those good advanced indicators. (And sometimes, these resources are not provided for free.) The fact that only a few active traders will use those resources does not mean that all the other traders should be left ignorant of them. Too much information is good. :-D
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“The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query, whether the market operator specifically links to it or not.”
Hummm… Dubious claim. If your statement were true, then the satisfaction rates of search engines would reach 100%. I don’t think it’s the case, and that’s why search engines employ smart researchers like to you to concoct improvement. :-D
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Anyone on the Web enjoys a set of good links. It’s my opinion that the URLs of good advanced indicators should always be provide on the related prediction market page.

]]> By: David Pennock http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16748 David Pennock Mon, 28 Jan 2008 13:38:00 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16748 I agree it is a nice service to provide, but don't agree it should be "compelled". If all traders are aware of all the same advanced indicators, then again in some sense "there's no money to be made". The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query, whether the market operator specifically links to it or not. I agree it is a nice service to provide, but don’t agree it should be “compelled”.

If all traders are aware of all the same advanced indicators, then again in some sense “there’s no money to be made”.

The info is out there within easy reach of a Yahoo! search query, whether the market operator specifically links to it or not.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16747 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 11:16:39 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16747 So, I re-ask my question: Doesn't the presence of good advanced indicators (primary sources of information) correlates with the popularity of the related prediction market? . If so, then shouldn't the prediction exchanges make a rule for the prediction market proposals to contain the URLs of those good advanced indicators? . He he he... :-D So, I re-ask my question: Doesn’t the presence of good advanced indicators (primary sources of information) correlates with the popularity of the related prediction market?
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If so, then shouldn’t the prediction exchanges make a rule for the prediction market proposals to contain the URLs of those good advanced indicators?
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He he he… :-D

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16746 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 28 Jan 2008 11:06:35 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16746 "popularity comes either if people are fascinated by the topic (entertainment, sports)" Yes, I agree with that. . "or if there is sufficient money to be made" Yes, but that's how come the advanced indicators. If there aren't any, then there's no "money to be made", coz it's pure gambling, not informed betting. . "I disagree that it's the responsibility of the market proposer or market organizer to provide links to information." A matter of taste. I think if they were compelled to provide the URLs of the primary sources of information, then they would be compelled to walk into the market makers' shoes, and thus produce better marketing, and hence create more profitability for the exchange firms. . Voila. Thanks for your comments. “popularity comes either if people are fascinated by the topic (entertainment, sports)”
Yes, I agree with that.
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“or if there is sufficient money to be made”
Yes, but that’s how come the advanced indicators. If there aren’t any, then there’s no “money to be made”, coz it’s pure gambling, not informed betting.
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“I disagree that it’s the responsibility of the market proposer or market organizer to provide links to information.”
A matter of taste. I think if they were compelled to provide the URLs of the primary sources of information, then they would be compelled to walk into the market makers’ shoes, and thus produce better marketing, and hence create more profitability for the exchange firms.
.
Voila. Thanks for your comments.

]]> By: David Pennock http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16745 David Pennock Mon, 28 Jan 2008 10:56:57 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/25/search-engine-futures/#comment-16745 Personally, I'm not sure the existence of good advanced indicators correlates with popularity. I believe popularity comes either if people are fascinated by the topic (entertainment, sports), or if there is sufficient money to be made. I disagree that it's the responsibility of the market proposer or market organizer to provide links to information. Personally, I’m not sure the existence of good advanced indicators correlates with popularity. I believe popularity comes either if people are fascinated by the topic (entertainment, sports), or if there is sufficient money to be made.

I disagree that it’s the responsibility of the market proposer or market organizer to provide links to information.

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