Comments on: Latest Intrade v. Zogby contest is up. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Caveat Bettor http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16697 Caveat Bettor Wed, 16 Jan 2008 20:23:53 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16697 Niall: How could this contest be made more scientific? Niall: How could this contest be made more scientific?

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16694 Chris. F. Masse Wed, 16 Jan 2008 15:56:34 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16694 Depends at what time you take your PM snapshot. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/16/the-michigan-primary-as-seen-thru-the-prism-of-the-intrade-prediction-markets/ I'm more interested in the whole course of trading, rather than one point in time. Depends at what time you take your PM snapshot.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/16/the-michigan-primary-as-seen-thru-the-prism-of-the-intrade-prediction-markets/
I’m more interested in the whole course of trading, rather than one point in time.

]]> By: Niall O'Connor http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16693 Niall O'Connor Wed, 16 Jan 2008 08:07:22 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16693 Looks like Zogby won it then; "Mitt Romney burst back into contention for the Republican presidential nomination on Tuesday with a comeback victory over John McCain in the Michigan primary. The former governor of Massachusetts beat the Arizona senator by 39 per cent to 30 per cent, with Mike Huckabee, the former governor for Arkansas, in third with 16 per cent." I look forward to reading the post result analysis. In a way you were asking for this, due to your unscientific method of comparison. Another black eye for prediction markets. Looks like Zogby won it then;

“Mitt Romney burst back into contention for the Republican presidential nomination on Tuesday with a comeback victory over John McCain in the Michigan primary.

The former governor of Massachusetts beat the Arizona senator by 39 per cent to 30 per cent, with Mike Huckabee, the former governor for Arkansas, in third with 16 per cent.”

I look forward to reading the post result analysis.

In a way you were asking for this, due to your unscientific method of comparison. Another black eye for prediction markets.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16686 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 14 Jan 2008 21:11:37 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/01/14/latest-intrade-v-zogby-contest-is-up/#comment-16686 Good idea, Cav. PMs should be compared to other mechanisms. Keep us informed till the end of this long race. Good idea, Cav. PMs should be compared to other mechanisms. Keep us informed till the end of this long race.

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