Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Robin Hanson is not convinced by the Google experiment with enterprise prediction markets –to say the least.

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Robin Hanson in a comment on Marginal Revolution:

This is important work for organizational sociology, but not for prediction markets, as this does little to help us find and field high value markets.

Finally, somebody who speaks the truth.

See also the comment of economist Michael Giberson.

Related Links: Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence From Google – (PDF filePDF file) – by Bo Cowgill (Google economic analyst), Justin Wolfers (University of Pennsylvania) and Eric Zitzewitz (Dartmouth College)

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1 Comment to Robin Hanson is not convinced by the Google experiment with enterprise prediction markets –to say the least.

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