My hypothesis is that they are better than polls. And in my Intrade v. Zogby contest, so far so good.
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I got an error when I clicked on the link. However, when I copy the link and enter it directly into my browser address bar, it works fine.
Mike, it’s corrected, now. Our smart man did put the link into the “title” box, not the “URL” box.
http://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/search?q=intrade+zogby
Whoops, sorry guys.