Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Who said prediction markets were perfect?

Written by Caveat Bettor on January 9, 2008 — 3 Comments
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My hypothesis is that they are better than polls. And in my Intrade v. Zogby contest, so far so good.

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , ,

3 Comments to “Who said prediction markets were perfect?”

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  1. Michael Giberson's Gravatar Michael GibersonNo Gravatar
    January 10, 2008 at 1:17 AM | Permalink

    I got an error when I clicked on the link. However, when I copy the link and enter it directly into my browser address bar, it works fine.

  2. Chris. F. Masse's Gravatar Chris. F. MasseNo Gravatar
    January 10, 2008 at 2:28 AM | Permalink

    Mike, it’s corrected, now. Our smart man did put the link into the “title” box, not the “URL” box.
    http://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/search?q=intrade+zogby

  3. Caveat Bettor's Gravatar Caveat BettorNo Gravatar
    January 10, 2008 at 11:06 AM | Permalink

    Whoops, sorry guys.

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