http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/separating-cheap-talk-from-truly-held-beliefs/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/separating-cheap-talk-from-truly-held-beliefs/#comment-18099 Who would you back, the market consensus or a book-writing pundit? | Midas Oracle .ORG Tue, 22 Apr 2008 11:39:10 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/separating-cheap-talk-from-truly-held-beliefs/#comment-18099 [...] Separating cheap talk from truly held beliefs, I wrote of political pundits with books: Maybe they believe what they write, and would be willing [...] [...] Separating cheap talk from truly held beliefs, I wrote of political pundits with books: Maybe they believe what they write, and would be willing [...]

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/separating-cheap-talk-from-truly-held-beliefs/#comment-16507 Chris. F. Masse Tue, 27 Nov 2007 06:14:28 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/11/26/separating-cheap-talk-from-truly-held-beliefs/#comment-16507 It is well explained in the excerpt that you cite that many lefties won't bet or trade. So maybe your proposals would be accepted only by book authors who are market believers. It is well explained in the excerpt that you cite that many lefties won’t bet or trade. So maybe your proposals would be accepted only by book authors who are market believers.

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