Mike Smithson’s effort is paying off. Here are the BetFair political prediction markets:
Cabinet Exit Dates
- Chancellor
- Foreign Secretary
- Home Secretary
Cabinet Specials
- Next Chancellor
- Next Foreign Secretary
- Next Home Secretary
- Next Prime Minister
Leader Exit Dates
- David Cameron
- Gordon Brown
Next General Election
- Election Date
- Most Seats
- Overall Majority
- Party Leaders
Next Lib Dem Leader
The prediction exchanges (betting exchanges) that organize the most socially valuable prediction markets are InTrade and PopSci PPX, I would say.
