Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
Justin Wolfers’ op-ed column in the New York Times
Psstt… The links to the New York Times stories are rotten, when viewed within the Google Reader, these days. Somebody should tell them to fix this problem.
UPDATE: Justin Wolfers’ blog post at Marginal Revolution + Follow-up blog post
Chris F. Masse on American Civics Exchange = CFTC-regulated Exempt Board of TradeChris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Jason Ruspini on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Jason Ruspini on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”