Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
The Harvard Crimson (on Anita Elberse’s work):
Since its founding in 1996 [by Max Keiser and Michael Burns], HSX has had 1.7 million registered traders, according to Costakis. Each day, between 15,000 and 20,000 people use the site, racking up some 50,000 trades, he added.
Rock around the bunker… Rock around, rock around… Rock around the bunker… Rock around, rock around… Rock around the bunker… Rock around, rock around…
Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Chris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Jason Ruspini on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Jason Ruspini on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”