Most Honest Person of the Year 2004:
Prof. Robin Hanson, who placed a bet with TradeSports/InTrade, lost 100% of his speculative investment, and did not hide in a spider hole (as I would have done to make sure the world doesn’t have wind of this nuclear blunder). “I lost my shirt betting the United States would not capture Saddam Hussein“, he said. The guy was unlucky (or plain dumb), but boy was he frank.
The next independent publicized study of adult talkativeness will find Women talk 10% more then Men
This prediction market was proposed by Robin Hanson, who does speculate on the “yes” side of the bet, if I understood well.
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