It’d work like this: You’d have some prediction markets tracking the careers of some key individuals. The source for expiry would be that person’s profile at LinkedIn.
Examples.
#1. I’d be long on Mike Linksvayer. The guy’s smart. He’s VP at Creative Commons. The only VP, if I spotted correctly. The current CEO has claimed everywhere he’s fed up with the intellectual property issues. If that CEO’s out one day, who’s gonna replace him? Mike. I’m long.
#2. I’d be long on Jason Ruspini. Smart guy. “The Brain” will climb the corporate ladder, later on. A sure thing.
#3. I’d be long on David Perry. The guy’s the Bud Fox of the field of prediction markets. “Cold calls do work.”
#4. I’d be long on Bo Cowgill and Brian Shiau. I’ve no insider info. They’re on a roll, so I’d buy at any price.
#5. I’d short John Balloney. The market leaders tell me they’ll never give him any cent.
#6. I’d be neutral on Rodrigo Carvalho. I’d be long on a science researcher learning the ropes in a hedge fund, but I’d need more info to make up my mind.
Hey, could those LinkedIn prediction markets be used for… hedging?…
