Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
Breitbart.tv » Rush Proposes Vegas-Style Global Warming Catastrophe Waging Lines.
On his show Monday, Rush Limbaugh asks his opponents in the Great Global Warming Debate to put their money where their mouths are. Rush [Limbaugh] proposes a betting web site put up Vegas style betting lines on the different worst case scenarios posited by doomsayers Laurie David and Al Gore.
A global warming prediction market would be better, right? [Gee, I'm realizing I'm playing into Caveat Bettor's hands. 
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Jason Ruspini on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]
Paul Hewitt on When the ObamaCare event derivative reaches 80%, I will officially declare America as a socialist country —just like France and Sweden.
Chris F. Masse on We interrupt this report to bring you some Jazz.Chris F. Masse on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]Chris F. Masse on “InTrade should address this incident and suspend the account of whoever did this.”
Niall O'Connor on We interrupt this report to bring you some Jazz.Niall O'Connor on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]Niall O'Connor on “InTrade should address this incident and suspend the account of whoever did this.”
Max Keiser on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]Jason Ruspini on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]
No global warming contract blogger has honor here. Or something like that.
Robin Hanson has posted a blog post about… global warming bets… but we’d like to hear him on… global warming prediction markets.
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/06/global-warming-.html
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/28/robin-hanson-should-educate-rush-limbaugh-on-prediction-markets-2/