Comments on: YES, Harry Potter will survive J.K. Rowling’s 7th installment of the saga, The Deathly Hallows. http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15813 Chris. F. Masse Fri, 22 Jun 2007 18:34:14 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15813 <p>HARRY POTTER: The hacker, known only as Gabriel, exploited the PCs of one or more employees at Bloomsbury by sending an email-borne threat.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/harry-potter-the-hacker-known-only-as-gabriel-exploited-the-pcs-of-one-or-more-employees-at-bloomsbury-by-sending-an-email-borne-threat/</p> <p>REUTERS:<br /> In the latest movie, Harry discovers he and his evil nemesis Voldemort cannot both survive, raising the possibility that one, or both of them could die in the end.<br /> http://investing.reuters.co.uk/news/articleinvesting.aspx?view=cn&symbol=BMY.L&storyID=171384%2022-Jun-2007%20RTRS&pageNumber=1&WTModLoc=InvArt-C1-ArticlePage1&sz=13</p> <p>HARRY POTTER: Chris Masse is a sucker, implies Niall O’Connor of Betting Market.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/harry-potter-chris-masse-is-a-sucker-implies-niall-oconnor-of-betting-market/</p> <p>Such is the rush of money for Harry Potter’s demise that William Hill has stopped taking bets as Harry Potter mania builds ahead of publication on July 21, 2007.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/such-is-the-rush-of-money-for-harry-potters-demise-that-william-hill-has-stopped-taking-bets-as-harry-potter-mania-builds-ahead-of-publication-on-july-21-2007/</p> <p>British edition of “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows” offers more clues<br /> http://blogs.mercurynews.com/aei/2007/06/british_edition_of_harry_potter_and_the_deathly_hallows_offers_more_clues.html</p> <p>Is This the End of Harry, on the Web?<br /> http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/23/books/23pott.html</p> <p>The Twisted Economics Of Harry Potter<br /> The wizard brings both profit and pain to his business partners<br /> http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_27/b4041045.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_top+story</p> <p>Harry Potter printer steps up security<br /> http://new.edp24.co.uk/content/news/story.aspx?brand=EDPOnline&category=News&tBrand=edponline&tCategory=news&itemid=NOED22%20Jun%202007%2021%3A50%3A59%3A653</p> <p>British printer of the 7th Harry Potter book, The Deathly Hallows, steps up security.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/23/british-printer-of-the-7th-harry-potter-book-the-deathly-hallows-steps-up-security/</p> <p>Harry Potter and the Plot-Spoiling, Phishing Scam<br /> http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1895,2149245,00.asp</p> <p>J.K. Rowling’s The Deathly Hallows = Harry Potter MUST Die! + Harry Potter Must NOT Die!<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/07/jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-the-deathly-hallows-harry-potter-must-die-harry-potter-must-not-die/</p> <p>J.K. Rowling’s The Deathly Hallows = Harry Potter MUST Die! + Harry Potter Must NOT Die!<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/12/jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-the-deathly-hallows-harry-potter-must-die-harry-potter-must-not-die-2/</p> <p>HARRY POTTER DEATH — NewsFutures prediction market = Zogby Interactive survey<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/12/harry-potter-death-newsfutures-prediction-market-zogby-interactive-survey/</p> <p>We, the undersigned, petition J.K. Rowling to write more new adventures for Harry Potter and his friends no matter what happens at the end of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/we-the-undersigned-petition-jk-rowling-to-write-more-new-adventures-for-harry-potter-and-his-friends-no-matter-what-happens-at-the-end-of-harry-potter-and-the-deathly-hallows/</p> <p>Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/deep-throat-sells-harry-potter-short/</p> <p>The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures may be flawed.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/the-contract-of-the-harry-potter-event-derivative-at-newsfutures-may-be-flawed/</p> <p>The Harry Potter litmus test<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/the-harry-potter-litmus-test/</p> <p>Deep Throat on the expiry of the Harry Potter event derivative<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/14/deep-throat-on-the-expiry-of-the-harry-potter-event-derivative/</p> <p>North Korean Missile Prediction Market = Harry Potter Demise Prediction Market<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/15/north-korean-missile-prediction-market-harry-potter-demise-prediction-market/</p> <p>Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/03/harry-potter-actor-dan-radcliffe-nude-on-midas-oracle/</p> <p>Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle… AGAIN<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/17/harry-potter-actor-dan-radcliffe-nude-on-midas-oracle-again/</p> <p>J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows is now accessible via BitTorrent.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/17/jk-rowlings-harry-potter-and-the-deathly-hallows-is-now-accessible-via-bittorrent/</p> <p>People are googling HARRY POTTER EPILOGUE like crazy.<br /> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/18/people-are-googling-harry-potter-epilogue-like-crazy/</p> THE FATE OF HARRY POTTER IN J.K. ROWLING’S 7TH BOOK, THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: prediction market vs. bookmaker http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/23/the-fate-of-harry-potter-in-jk-rowlings-7th-book-the-deathly-hallows-prediction-market-vs-bookmaker/ HARRY POTTER: The hacker, known only as Gabriel, exploited the PCs of one or more employees at Bloomsbury by sending an email-borne threat.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/harry-potter-the-hacker-known-only-as-gabriel-exploited-the-pcs-of-one-or-more-employees-at-bloomsbury-by-sending-an-email-borne-threat/

REUTERS:
In the latest movie, Harry discovers he and his evil nemesis Voldemort cannot both survive, raising the possibility that one, or both of them could die in the end.
http://investing.reuters.co.uk/news/articleinvesting.aspx?view=cn&symbol=BMY.L&storyID=171384%2022-Jun-2007%20RTRS&pageNumber=1&WTModLoc=InvArt-C1-ArticlePage1&sz=13

HARRY POTTER: Chris Masse is a sucker, implies Niall O’Connor of Betting Market.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/harry-potter-chris-masse-is-a-sucker-implies-niall-oconnor-of-betting-market/

Such is the rush of money for Harry Potter’s demise that William Hill has stopped taking bets as Harry Potter mania builds ahead of publication on July 21, 2007.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/such-is-the-rush-of-money-for-harry-potters-demise-that-william-hill-has-stopped-taking-bets-as-harry-potter-mania-builds-ahead-of-publication-on-july-21-2007/

British edition of “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows” offers more clues
http://blogs.mercurynews.com/aei/2007/06/british_edition_of_harry_potter_and_the_deathly_hallows_offers_more_clues.html

Is This the End of Harry, on the Web?
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/23/books/23pott.html

The Twisted Economics Of Harry Potter
The wizard brings both profit and pain to his business partners
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_27/b4041045.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_top+story

Harry Potter printer steps up security
http://new.edp24.co.uk/content/news/story.aspx?brand=EDPOnline&category=News&tBrand=edponline&tCategory=news&itemid=NOED22%20Jun%202007%2021%3A50%3A59%3A653

British printer of the 7th Harry Potter book, The Deathly Hallows, steps up security.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/23/british-printer-of-the-7th-harry-potter-book-the-deathly-hallows-steps-up-security/

Harry Potter and the Plot-Spoiling, Phishing Scam
http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1895,2149245,00.asp

J.K. Rowling’s The Deathly Hallows = Harry Potter MUST Die! + Harry Potter Must NOT Die!
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/07/jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-the-deathly-hallows-harry-potter-must-die-harry-potter-must-not-die/

J.K. Rowling’s The Deathly Hallows = Harry Potter MUST Die! + Harry Potter Must NOT Die!
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/12/jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-the-deathly-hallows-harry-potter-must-die-harry-potter-must-not-die-2/

HARRY POTTER DEATH — NewsFutures prediction market = Zogby Interactive survey
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/12/harry-potter-death-newsfutures-prediction-market-zogby-interactive-survey/

We, the undersigned, petition J.K. Rowling to write more new adventures for Harry Potter and his friends no matter what happens at the end of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/we-the-undersigned-petition-jk-rowling-to-write-more-new-adventures-for-harry-potter-and-his-friends-no-matter-what-happens-at-the-end-of-harry-potter-and-the-deathly-hallows/

Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/deep-throat-sells-harry-potter-short/

The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures may be flawed.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/the-contract-of-the-harry-potter-event-derivative-at-newsfutures-may-be-flawed/

The Harry Potter litmus test
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/13/the-harry-potter-litmus-test/

Deep Throat on the expiry of the Harry Potter event derivative
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/14/deep-throat-on-the-expiry-of-the-harry-potter-event-derivative/

North Korean Missile Prediction Market = Harry Potter Demise Prediction Market
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/15/north-korean-missile-prediction-market-harry-potter-demise-prediction-market/

Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/03/harry-potter-actor-dan-radcliffe-nude-on-midas-oracle/

Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle… AGAIN
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/17/harry-potter-actor-dan-radcliffe-nude-on-midas-oracle-again/

J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows is now accessible via BitTorrent.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/17/jk-rowlings-harry-potter-and-the-deathly-hallows-is-now-accessible-via-bittorrent/

People are googling HARRY POTTER EPILOGUE like crazy.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/18/people-are-googling-harry-potter-epilogue-like-crazy/

THE FATE OF HARRY POTTER IN J.K. ROWLING’S 7TH BOOK, THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: prediction market vs. bookmaker
http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/07/23/the-fate-of-harry-potter-in-jk-rowlings-7th-book-the-deathly-hallows-prediction-market-vs-bookmaker/

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15810 Chris. F. Masse Fri, 22 Jun 2007 11:37:27 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15810 "making fun of" does not mean "ridiculing" :) “making fun of” does not mean “ridiculing” :)

]]> By: Michael Giberson http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15809 Michael Giberson Fri, 22 Jun 2007 11:35:17 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/22/yes-harry-potter-will-survive-jk-rowling%e2%80%99s-7th-installment-of-the-saga-the-deathly-hallows/#comment-15809 I'm willing to be ridiculed for all my published opinions and reports Chris, but re-read my Potter post. In this case I don't think the ridicule will have been earned by me. In the post I said: If you are an investor trying to maximize long term returns and have no inside information, this is a case where Kelly’s criterion for betting comes into play. Kelly’s criterion for bet size can be described as “edge over odds,” implying, as Wikipedia explains: “If the gambler has no edge, … then the gambler should bet nothing.” So if you now have an edge (based upon an internet posting about an computer hacker?? So your thinking is, "if it is on the internet, it must be true"???? This is your investment strategy?????) Anyway, I took no position on whether Harry would die, my position was only my interpretation of sensible betting analysis applied to the case of fictional events. But best of luck to you. I’m willing to be ridiculed for all my published opinions and reports Chris, but re-read my Potter post. In this case I don’t think the ridicule will have been earned by me. In the post I said:

If you are an investor trying to maximize long term returns and have no inside information, this is a case where Kelly’s criterion for betting comes into play. Kelly’s criterion for bet size can be described as “edge over odds,” implying, as Wikipedia explains: “If the gambler has no edge, … then the gambler should bet nothing.”

So if you now have an edge (based upon an internet posting about an computer hacker?? So your thinking is, “if it is on the internet, it must be true”???? This is your investment strategy?????) Anyway, I took no position on whether Harry would die, my position was only my interpretation of sensible betting analysis applied to the case of fictional events. But best of luck to you.

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