Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

How does humans predict the future?

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Presentation at Reboot 9.0 by the Nosco guy.

Review by a blogger:

How does humans predict the future? by Jesper Krogstrup.

This was all about prediction markets and how to basically create a gambling system inside a company to better predict the success or on-time completion of projects. Seems Microsoft used the system to see would they release a game in time and Google are also using it to spot good ideas. Fantastic talk, would love to have heard more about this whole topic. He mentioned HP might be bringing out a tool for this kind of stuff. Again, would love to get hold of the slides.

The Nosco guy was convincing and made a lasting impression, it seems. :) Good. Let’s see whether this Danish guy can be as convincing on Midas Oracle, with a more specialized audience.

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