Monthly Archives: May 2007

Wall Street Journal on the Future of Advertising

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Business, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged | Leave a comment

Software for prediction markets built on the FaceBook platform??

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The social networking site Facebook is to open up its pages to third-party developers, who will be able to create applications that will run on users’ pages…

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The bond-trading firm Cantor Fitzgerald is selling its privately held BGC Partners brokerage unit to eSpeed, in a deal valued at $1.3 billion.

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

New York Times What about HSX?

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Google will make applications like Gmail and Docs and Spreadsheets available offline, in a move that will challenge Microsoft.

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

BO COWGILL’S GOOGLE ATTACKS TODD PROEBSTING’S MICROSOFT. Will Google release its software for internal prediction markets (which uses CDA), next?? Will MicroSoft (which uses MSR) do the same? And what about David Pennock’s Yahoo??

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DECISION MARKETS & DECISION-AID MARKETS: Paul N. vs. Robin Hanson

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Paul N. on a comment at Marginal Revolution: Real world examples keep hurting Robin’s theories. If we can’t get a liquid market for something with as wide appeal as this, how do we expect to be able to use markets … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Is there manipulation in the Hillary Clinton Intrade market?

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Koleman Strumpf

Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz recently have suggested there have been manipulations in the Intrade market for Hillary Clinton. The primary piece of evidence is the recent increase in her chance of being elected president without a concurrent increase in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Jason Ruspini on Political Event Swaps

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Jason Ruspini on Political Event Swaps: Whatever specific form the contract takes, it is true that the special interest will likely be at an informational advantage, which might cause speculators to demand so high a “premium” that trade does not … Continue reading →

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Hillary Rodham Clinton – Event Derivatives & Prediction Markets – InTrade-TradeSports + BetFair + NewsFutures

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— BetFair: Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Presidential Nominee – Static chart BetFair – Winning Party: Democratic – Static chart BetFair – 2008 Election – Female President – Static chart – (Thanks to Eric Zitzewitz for the tip.) — NewsFutures … Continue reading →

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Capital Ideas Revisited – The Prime Directive, Sharks, and The Wisdom of Crowds

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Capital Ideas Revisited – The Prime Directive, Sharks, and The Wisdom of Crowds – (PDF file 1 – PDF file 2) – [on market efficiency and inefficiency] – 2005-03-xx

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Screenshot of a Second Life Chat about Amazon Web Services

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse
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