However, bear in mind that journalos cherry-pick the quotes from you. For instance, I sent something like 20 or 30 sentences to the CNET journalo, and he picked 2 or 3.

Could be that Justin Wolfers gave the wider picture, but because of lack of space, only two or three sentences from him made it in the final article.

Lance Fortnow took one selective snapshot of the markets which, in my view, was not representative. You could have found one snapshot of where the markets were to retrospectively vindicate yourself no matter what actually happened.

There is a widespread opinion that the markets “failed” the 2006 elections. I don’t think that’s necessarily correct, but you had better have very good data before you buck a consensus, or else you just look silly.

Wolfers is probably thinking of that one map on Lance Fortnow’s site, which was where the PMs were at one point in time. But from what I observed, watching the PMs pretty much nonstop for 48 hours up through the election, it was not representative.

Just saying.