BetFair prediction markets on the Scotland elections taking place this Thursday, May 3, 2007. (For your information, InTrade-TradeSports has no liquidity on the Scotland prediction markets. Also, note that there is also an election in Wales, but the betting markets don’t give the first fig about it.)
- This early morning, the BetFair prediction markets are “suspended”. I don’t know why. Niall O’Connor??? [Oops. He tells me the prediction markets are open, now. It was a temporary closure, then. ]
- The Scottish National Party (SNP), supported by actor Sean Connery, is for the “independence” (from the British Parliament). And the Labour Party (of Tony Blair) is for the status quo.
- The Scottish National Party (SNP): 82%

Here are the latest polls, courtesy of Mike Smithson at Political Betting:
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