TAKEAWAY:
#1. Very few readers do subscribe to our prediction market blogs using a (PC-based or Web-based) feed reader —although, on Midas Oracle, the number of subscribers is higher than the daily visitors coming directly from browser bookmarks (i.e., other than the people coming from Google Search, which is very high).
#2. Other than CFM, Midas Oracle and Odd Head, the prediction market blogs are equivalent to self masturbation (i.e., onanism) —this said with all due respect to their authors (in particular those “from the London School of Economics”).
#3. The future belongs to often-updated group blogs (with substantial participation).
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First, I give you the numbers for CFM and MIDAS ORACLE. Then, I give you the numbers for the other prediction market blogs.
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#1. PC-based feed subscribers: a big number.
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#2. Web-based feed subscribers:
CFM: 205 subscribers
Midas Oracle: 283 subscribers (that is, not including 14 comment subscriptions)
Google Reader + Google IG
83 CFM
134 MO post feed
11 MO comment feed
6 MO best-post feed
BlogLines
51 CFM
47 MO post feed
3 MO comment feed
3 MO best-post feed
NetVibes
45 CFM
44 MO post feed
0 MO comment feed
26 MO best-post feed
NewsGator
13 CFM
17 MO post feed
0 MO comment feed
1 MO best-post feed
My Yahoo!
7 CFM
3 MO post feed
0 MO comment feed
0 MO best-post feed
Rojo
5 CFM
2 MO post feed
0 MO comment feed
0 MO best-post feed
Pluck
1 CFM
0 MO post feed
0 MO comment feed
0 MO best-post feed
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Other Prediction Market Blogs:
- JUST FOR COMPARISON –> Marginal Revolution (by Tyler Cowen): +2,768 subscribers at BlogLines
- NOT REALLY A PREDICTION MARKET BLOG –> OvercomingErrors (by Robin Hanson et al.): 70 + 51 = 121 subscribers at BlogLines
- Risk Markets And Politics (by Jason Ruspini): 53 subscribers at BlogLines
- Odd Head (by David Pennock, of Yahoo! Research): 41 subscribers at BlogLines
- Hollywood Stock Exchange blog (by David Perry): 20 subscribers at BlogLines
- Consensus Point blog (by David Perry): 18 subscribers at BlogLines
- Inkling Markets blog (by Adam Siegel): 17 subscribers at BlogLines
- Alea (by JC Kommer): 17 subscribers at BlogLines
- Betting Market site feed (by Niall O’Connor): 12 subscribers at BlogLines
- TradeSports site feed (by John Delaney et al.): 10 subscribers at BlogLines
- Nasty, Brutish And Tall (by Steve Roman): 8 subscribers at BlogLines
- InTrade site feed (by John Delaney et al.): 5 subscribers at BlogLines
- NewsFutures blog (by Emile Servan-Schreiber): 5 subscribers at BlogLines
- Bo Cowgill blog (by Bo Cowgill): 4 subscribers at BlogLines
- CASTrader (by Alan Jewell): 3 subscribers at BlogLines
- Usable Markets (by Alex Kirtland): 2 subscribers at BlogLines
- Caveat Bettor (by Caveat Bettor): 2 subscribers at BlogLines
- Mercury blog (by Jed Christiansen, “from the London School of Economics”): 2 subscribers at BlogLines
- SmartCrowd (by”Paul”): 2 subscribers at BlogLines
- The Political Maven (by Alex Forshaw): 1 subscriber at BlogLines –> moi
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Technical Note: The feeds generated by the blogging software were added to BlogLines, when possible —preferably not the FeedBurner feeds (for personal, aesthetic reasons). So it could be that the audience of one or two blogs in the listing are underestimated.
