And it doesn’t look good for NewsFutures. While InTrade and IEM’s prices/probabilities are quite close, NewsFutures’ ones are out of whack, sometimes by a magnitude of ten points.
- Political Party of the Next US President
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- Should Slate add FT Predict in the odds comparison table?
- Slate has output an “explainer” on the legality of the prediction markets, which is the most insipid take I have ever read on Slate since the inception of this online magazine in the mid-nineties.
- See Slate’s 2007 guide to prediction markets, if you haven’t read it already.
Other External Link: Event Markets Evolve: Legal Certainty Needed. – [legalization of U.S.-based prediction exchanges] – by Paul Architzel (ex-CFTC) – 2006-03-??