Comments on: Recession probability index rises to 16.9% http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/ Prediction Markets, etc. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:13:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Alex Forshaw http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15480 Alex Forshaw Sun, 29 Apr 2007 00:27:44 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15480 ahhh... sweet. Thanks. ahhh… sweet. Thanks.

]]> By: James Hamilton http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15472 James Hamilton Sat, 28 Apr 2007 12:29:12 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15472 Alex, actually I left out this detail-- the axes and all the statistical analysis in fact are based on logarithmic growth. The measure is always 100 times the difference of the natural logarithms of real GDP between consecutive quarters. Alex, actually I left out this detail– the axes and all the statistical analysis in fact are based on logarithmic growth. The measure is always 100 times the difference of the natural logarithms of real GDP between consecutive quarters.

]]> By: Alex Forshaw http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15469 Alex Forshaw Fri, 27 Apr 2007 23:11:16 +0000 http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/27/recession-probability-index-rises-to-169/#comment-15469 Very interesting post. Is there any way you can make the x-axes of the density graphs scaled by logarithmic growth, instead of percentage growth? Very interesting post.

Is there any way you can make the x-axes of the density graphs scaled by logarithmic growth, instead of percentage growth?

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