Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
I was both buoyed and dismayed by what I learned at this event. Buoyed by how much potential there is in prediction markets for improving decision-making and forecasting. Dismayed by how shallow the body of knowledge is on how to make them work well, and how to make them work well inside large organizations.
Still true, four months later. 
Daniel Horowitz on Health care reform is down to 47% at InTrade. –> Toss a coin, it will get you the same.Daniel Horowitz on Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health care reform?
Paul Hewitt on Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction MarketsPaul Hewitt on Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)
Chris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer bettingDaniel Horowitz on What’s wrong with soccer betting
Medemi on What’s wrong with soccer bettingChris F. Masse on What’s wrong with soccer betting