Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Intro to Prediction Markets Presentation

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For those who are interested I did a presentation introducing prediction markets for a recent professional conference: The Information Architecture Summit. Given the nature of the conference, I also spent some time talking about the usability of prediction markets. It was well received, and I had a blast doing it. Thanks to everyone who helped.

Quick story. Before the presentation began a woman came up to me and said:

I have this problem and I think prediction markets can help, but I don’t know who to contact. You see, I work at HP ….

You can get the presentation, and an earlier draft (I had to cut a lot to fit it into an hour preso) at www.usablemarkets.com. [PPT file]

Of course, any feedback would be appreciated. If I’m sure of anything, I’m sure this community has lots of opinions.

Thanks.

~alex

2 Comments to Intro to Prediction Markets Presentation

  1. March 28, 2007 at 8:41 AM | Permalink

    Good presentation.
    http://www.usablemarkets.com/other_docs/prediction_markets_pres_v5.ppt

    One remark. When one speaks to the general public, it’s better to show a VERY SHORT definition.

    prediction market = a prediction is traded on a market.
    0–100 price = 0–100 probability of that outcome

    Of course, the scholars will like to have a more elaborate definition, but for the general public, let’s aim at simplicity… which the prediction markets are all about. :)

  2. April 3, 2007 at 2:48 AM | Permalink

    IA Summit 2007
    I was in Las Vegas last weekend for the Information Architecture Summit.
    http://noisebetweenstations.com/personal/weblogs/?p=2037

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