—
- There will be two rounds (Sunday April 22, 2007 + Sunday May 6, 2007). The finale is for the two most popular candidates (unless one got more than 50% in the first round).
- If right-wing extremist (racist and anti-Semitic) Jean-Marie Le Pen passes the first round (like 5 years ago), he will be smashed by his second-round opponent (one of the three other names you see in the table above).
- If Republican Nicolas Sarkozy (a man) goes against Socialist Segolene Royal (the woman) in the second round, polls show the Republican will win.
- If Centrist Francois Bayrou manages to pass the first round, then polls show he will smash whatever opponent will be against him —if you can believe it.
—
LOSER BETS: Extremist Jean-Marie Le Pen & Socialist Segolene Royal
SURE BET: Republican Nicolas Sarkozy
BETTING THE FARM ON THE CHALLENGER : Centrist Francois Bayrou — [Beware. Watch out for confirmation in the upcoming polls.]
—
BetFair — InTrade — NewsFutures —
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE: The author of this blog post (the “one-trick pony”) is long on Sarkozy at NewsFutures. 
UPDATE: MIDAS ORACLE PROCLAIMS REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THE FRENCH PRESIDENT-ELECT.
