InTrade Volume Anomalies

Alex Forshaw, some researcher in economics we know, and some other traders have noticed an abrupt and inexplicable 50% increase in volumes, around the day of the TradeSports-InTrade split. (And that’s not “an augmentation”, Condi Rice-style, that’s really an “increase”. :) )

Alex Forshaw:

The US party nomination futs are showing about 50% higher volume today than they did yesterday. Anyone else notice this on other markets?

Some researcher in economics we know:

Anomalies in the closing price/trade price data for some of the US presidential nomination markets. In the trade data file, there are a large number of transactions dated 9:40-10:30 3/1/07 GMT which are at abnormal prices and do not seem to be reflecting in the closing price range in the closing price file. An example of this (for giuliani) is,
http://data.tradesports.com/graphing/jsp/downloadClosingPrice.jsp?contractId=175730
http://data.tradesports.com/graphing/jsp/downloadTaS.jsp?contractId=175730&timezone=GMT

An explaining statement from InTrade is needed at this time. Thanks.

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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