5 Responses to TradeSports reincorporates in two, just in time for NETeller’s immolation.

  1. Chris Masse says:

    “respect”

    Generally speaking, I can’t respect somebody who sends insult e-mails under a series of forged e-mail accounts and disguised identities.

  2. “I hope Paul Tetlock, Justin Wolfers, and others who have made a mini-career mining the insights of prediction markets are as fine with the decimation of said markets as their complacency would otherwise suggest.”

    I share Alex’s outrage and shame for the country, but I think we will have CFTC-regulated presidential markets in time for the 2008 election. (I am a 50% bid, at least) The CFTC will soon approve Credit Event Futures, and I think this is the path of legality, with all its possible restrictions, that prediction markets will take in the US. Unfortunately, there might not be any unambiguously legal real-money trading options for 6 to 18 months.

  3. Chris Masse says:

    The prediction markets we’re accustomed to are about all areas of sports, politics, current and legal events, domestic and international, not just US presidential elections.

    As for HedgeStreet, they are great people but they are not powerful Internet marketers, as of today.

    Any popular prediction exchange (TradeSports, BetFair) offers a wide range of betting lines.

  4. That was just an example. I meant all non-sports markets that aren’t politically sensitive. (“with all its possible restrictions”)

    Tradesports and Betfair are different animals with their own paths of evolution.

    It is a long, expensive and difficult, but not impossible, road to become a (retail) DCM.

  5. Alex Forshaw says:

    Well, slashing NETeller at the knees has already scared lots of liquidity away from Intrade, I think. Many TS’ers used NETeller, and some of them will switch over to some other method, but others will be deterred by the uncertainty of government threat and the hassle.

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