One:
Chris, the fact that Dan Reeves wrote a program that takes a mean of two estimates is not to me enough evidence to support the claim that this is “the odds that appear fair to bettors.”
Two:
I might be more persuaded by data on actual betting odds chosen, or a strategic model of a game where betting odds are chosen.
Are these two spankings well deserved?
- Dial “one” for “yes”; dial “two” for “no”.
Addendum: Chris Hibbert‘s posterior is probably as red as a Sicilian tomato, by now —well, only a supposition.
