So some vendors, such as NewsFutures and HP, are experimenting with skipping the trading and just getting people to make comparable forecasts.

His Royal Highness has modified the text of his original blog, which was basically a shameless commercial plug for his [] employer, as I repeated here 5 minutes ago. He has added the HP link. [I got that link from Chris Hibbert, by the way.]

Overcoming Commercial Bias dot com

HP Services – BRAIN – Scoring Rules (i.e., non-trading technique)

Full list of prediction market consultants (including Robin Hanson, listed as #1) at CFM.

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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3 Responses to So some vendors, such as NewsFutures and HP, are experimenting with skipping the trading and just getting people to make comparable forecasts.

  1. Chris, you may not make web-design errors in your posts, but you sure as hell make factual errors galore. Just in this post:

    #1 NewsFutures is a 100% American company, headquartered in Baltimore, MD, USA with all its principals U.S. citizens.

    #2 Robin Hanson has never been and is not today an employee of the company.

    Just where do you get off spouting nonsense like that?

    Cheers,

    –Emile

  2. Chris Masse says:

    #1. What would be the proper way to signal a business relationship between some scientific advisers and a consulting firm, if the word “employer” is not proper? They are paid for their work, right?

    http://us.newsfutures.com/home/sab.html

    #2. The website mentions NYC, and not Baltimore. Another reason to be careful when relying on such statements, in general. That said, should I suppress “French” or update to “French-American”?

    “NewsFutures, Inc. operates from New York City, USA, and Paris, France.”

    http://us.newsfutures.com/home/contacts.html

  3. Chris Masse says:

    So, what replacement for the word “employer”?

    Allo?

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