Successful predictions or correct assumptions?

An aside from Cosmic Variance’s Sean Carroll:

(In the wake of Milton Friedmann’s death, folks have been re-arguing his contention that successful predictions from an economic model are more important than correct assumptions underlying it. I would hope that both are important.)

Any comment on that, folks?

SHORT TERM: “Successful predictions” is the important stuff.

LONG TERM: “Correct assumptions” is the important stuff.

Am I right or wrong? (Will someone bring in the chicken-and-egg argument?)

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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