… is posted by a commenter on Fortnow’s blog:
But what about 24 hours before your snapshot? Or 48 hours? In other words, at what point did the map settle on the actual outcome in terms of blue v. red?
A prediction is more powerful the larger the gap in time, it would seem. And if the map is essentially showing the same thing that the polls at the same time showed, then it would seem much less useful.
So I’d really like to see this kind of analysis.
