Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
… Why would Slate.com include the world’s biggest betting exchange (a.k.a. real-money prediction exchange) when it can have the Casual Observer?
Anyway.
Here’s the link to the “Control of US Senate” webpage (still in play, as I type this blog post). Complete crap. Unreadable and useless. Direct into the trash can. Bye bye Slate.com.
Thanks: … to the blog “Two Newtons” for the Slate link…
Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Chris F. Masse on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform
Jason Ruspini on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Jason Ruspini on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care ReformChris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Paul Hewitt on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”