Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

“If Virginia and Montana go democratic then the markets predicted every race correctly.”

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 8, 2006 — 1 Comment
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… says Professor Lance Fortnow.

I made a picture of the senate map for the discovery channel website yesterday at about 9 AM Central.

2006-electionmap.jpg

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , ,

1 Comment to ““If Virginia and Montana go democratic then the markets predicted every race correctly.””

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  1. Chris Masse's Gravatar Chris MasseNo Gravatar
    November 8, 2006 at 7:29 PM | Permalink

    Please, read:

    OPEN LETTER TO THE COMMENTERS OF THE MARGINAL REVOLUTION BLOG

    http://www.midasoracle.org/2006/11/08/open-letter-to-the-commenters-of-the-marginal-revolution-blog/

    And go to the blog home page to read the latest:

    http://www.midasoracle.org/

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